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Friday, March 11, 2011

Johnny Lightning Sold!!!!!!!!

Saw this first on Swifty's today, and a Google search confirms that Japanese toy manufacturer Tomy has purchased RC2, parent company of Johnny Lightning, for a whopping $640 million. Remember, in 2004 Tom Lowe sold Playing Mantis alone - then the parent company of JL - for $17 million. That ought to show you what a small slice of the RC2 pie Johnny Lightning really was! 

Tomy is leveraging this with $600 million in loans from a syndication; never a good sign. The more hands in a business, the more under-performing lines are likely to be quickly chopped to maximize profits. Sometimes sold, sometimes closed if no other buyer can be found. So Johnny Lightning needs to move some cars!

Why did Tomy do the deal? Reports say that the Japanese youth market shrank by 13% last year alone; fewer kids means fewer customers, which means lower sales. Coupled with a comparatively stronger yen, which increases purchasing power, Tomy pulled the trigger on this all-cash deal in order to export their domestic brands to other markets, in this case via RC2's existing distribution lines. Tomy, owners of the Transformer and Pokeman brands, also owns Tomika diecast cars, and its own toy train line called "Plarail". From Bloomberg Business comes a quote from Tomy President Kantaro Tomiyama  “This merger further enables Tomy to move towards our goal of increasing our global profile adding significant additional business in North America and Europe”. From all reports, Tomy  also wanted the coveted Thomas the Tank franchise, for its value in both the Japanese, and world markets.

So what does this bode for Johnny Lightning and its collectors? Will the line disappear, or become more muddied than it did under RC2 with old Racing Champions castings? Will we see Tomica castings in Forever 64 Release 17?

Probably not much will change.

Many of these product lines are already made in some of the same factories in China, with entirely different market segments that coexist but really don't "cross-segment"; so streamlining production and marketing costs by cutting or merging lines (or "brands") isn't very beneficial. While some blurring of lines may occur, in general there are "Thomas" people and there are "Plarail" people; Johnny Lightning people and Tomica people. Neither line interchanges well with its new siblings. People who collect Thomas will still collect Thomas, and people who collect Tomica will do the same.

The upside here is that Tomy can now export their domestic lines such as Tomica and Plarail" to new markets such as the U.S. and Europe, through established distribution channels, to customers who may be bored with the currently available offerings and take to these "fresh" new products, spiking sales of those lines. Concurrently, Tomy can start selling RC2 lines to a similarly bored Japanese market, spiking sales of those lines as well.

I don't see wholesale changes of any lines, to be honest. At some point, one of each line may be cut or sold if sales are significantly off compared to the other (i.e. JL under performs, so Tomica stays), but overall the purchase is for two things; streamline production costs if possible, and get the highest levels of sales/profit in order to pay off or exceed the $600 million leverage costs. Tomica and Johnny Lightning could be united under a single brand (not likely) yet retain their individual lines unique to each one's market, but more likely this is about selling Japanese products here and in Europe, and selling RC2 product - especially Thomas - in Japan.

I see JL as pretty much staying the same, with perhaps an export market added to Japan and other Tomica distribution areas. I'd say Tom Z and the folks are safe at Johnny Lightning, only because the Japanese have no concept of the American car market. How does a Japanese designer manage a line of American musclecars? Conversely, we may now start seeing much more presence in the U.S. market for Tomica, through existing RC2 distribution (and we all know how well that's working, right?!!!)

Both Japanese and American financial forecasters see this as a good thing for both companies, and I see this as a good thing for diecast lovers. Tomy has just ensured us that the JL line will survive for at least the near future, so it can be exported to new markets that may well jump on a "new" product - at least until sales fail to meet needed projections. And we diecast lovers may finally find another line to explore - Tomica - as long as we're willing to look at non U.S. cars in that line.

Relax, JL fans, it's all good. It's pretty much the same situation Budweiser found itself in when it was sold to InBev a couple of years ago.

Can we get an opinion from David Bilodeau, please?

6 comments:

  1. Two words: Tomica Limited

    Take a good look at the quality of these cars and imagine what JL castings could look like. For the Limited line, they take existing castings and make them absolutely incredibly detailed.

    Three more words: Tomica Limited Vintage

    These are new from the ground up castings.

    Since you mentioned the Garage in your initial post I hope the link is okay:

    http://swiftysgarage.net/topic/6756212/1/

    The first two cars are the same casting. First is the standard release. Second is the Limited. Third (yellow) is the Limited Vintage (and is an entirely different casting).

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  2. Sean, thanks for the post. I felt the need to credit the Garage with being the source of my finding the story in the first place. Never a problem with anyone posting any link, as long as it's relevant to the hobby-at-large, or something O/T but fun. You'll find this is going to be a very laid back site with not a lot of rules or moderation.

    I have virtually no exposure to Tomica castings, though Jeff Koch tried to open that door to me a few years back. I think of them as featuring mainly Japanese and Euro cars, which hold very little interest for me.

    The photo of the mustard colored 911 though shows some nice detail. Maybe someone will want to find a link to the Tomica TLV line and we can all take a look at what they do?

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  3. You want reference sites, I have them! ;)

    Limiteds:

    http://www.takaratomy.co.jp/products/tomica/history/limited/index.htm

    Limited Vintages:

    http://www.tomytec.co.jp/minicar/lineup/tlv/index.html

    Regular Tomicas:

    http://hellototomica.com/index_e.html

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  4. Thanks for the links, Sean. Don't know why they're no showing up as "live" links you can click on, though.

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  5. Johny Lightning was just one part of Playing Mantis - the largest part, no doubt. So let's say that RC2 paid Tom Lowe $17 million just for Johnny Lightning. And let's forget that diecast has taken a dive these past 7 years and assign that full worth to JL today.

    If RC2 collectively was worth $640 million total, then JL was worth less than 3% of RC2's total worth.

    THREE percent!

    JL was nothing in the world of RC2, and $17 million is chump change to a company the size of Tomy, so they mean even LESS to Tomy. Shutting JL down instead of selling it off wouldn't cause these guys to lose one minute of sleep.

    Let's hope they see potential that isn't there right now.

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  6. Tomicas are excellent diecast…especially their vintage lines. I don’t see Tomicas and JLs being crossed over into one another’s lines, as several people on various diecast boards have mentioned. For one, both lines have a certain reputation, and it’s best to diversify and take advantage of already existing markets, rather than to add American cars to a mainly Japanese line, or vise-versa. This may build one line up, but swallow the other almost entirely. And only collectors who are a bit older would know the difference.

    Also, many regular issue Tomicas have plastic bases. So I’m wondering if JL could even fit into this line as far as older casting--aside from the limiteds. They would be forced to keep the plastic based castings already in use, or invest more money over time--either to refit existing casting with a plastic based mold, or add new casting to expand the line that way. Sean would know more on this part of subject.

    However, the way I see it is as follows:

    1)Tom Z. and the current JL team get a green light as far as actually putting some of the Tomica money into improving and expanding the JL line. JL fans would cheer!

    2) Tom Z. and the current team maintain the current standard with higher production numbers to regain invested money. This might work well if distribution changes and the line goes global. Over time, if the product sells, it grows and adapts to the new market it has found. The flipside is, if they keep the line to specialty outlets (or the current market doesn‘t take to JL the way it‘s older customers do, or did), it may not make the kind of money anticipated, which brings me to…

    3)The line is sold to cover investments and it lands in the lap of some else. This could be good news, it could be bad news. It depends really on who winds up with it. Everyone would love for Tom L. to re-acquire the line, but can even Mr. L. do what he once did in today’s economy?

    4) JL is sidelined by their new owner and falls into a void for a period of time. This is probably the last thing that could possibly happen, as the new owners have to see it as a potential cash-cow, either as a long term investment, or a quich resale while the line is in it’s current upswing due to the new improvements/castings that LC has recently done. To sit on it would not be wise, nor is it the way of most corporations. LC aside (their tactics boggle the mind at times) most corporations want a quick turn around on their investments. This is liberation day for JL, no matter how you slice it. Getting LC’s hooks out of the line, JL will have it’s chance to sink or swim. Much of this depends on who ultimately acquires the line, however. LC did keep the line alive, albeit on life support, and probably as a tax write off a good deal of the time. This was both a good thing, as well as bad, depending on whether you prefer some Jls to no Jls. Other corporations will probably not play the same type of games…meaning if the line sells, terrific, if it doesn’t, it’ll be cut and sold to someone else who may, or may not, have a fondness for diecast. It is a property. And there are those who will treat as such, and not the treasure we collectors see it as.

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